Evidence ledgerAvailable measures
Every card keeps the measure, year, method, and limitations attached to the number—or explains why no number is shown.
97.1published estimate points (M=100, SD=15)
Pesta 2022 published state IQ estimate
A research-derived state aggregate standardized to mean 100 and standard deviation 15, not an administered statewide IQ test.
Method and limits
Pesta standardized PIAAC literacy/numeracy and 2015, 2017, and 2019 NAEP reading/math state scores, derived separate PIAAC and NAEP estimates, and averaged them.
- This is an ecological proxy built from achievement and adult-skills assessments, not a representative IQ test of every resident.
- The source populations, years, constructs, and sampling frames differ.
- Do not infer an individual's ability from a state aggregate or treat small state differences as precise.
Uncertainty: The article reports a point estimate but does not provide a state-specific confidence interval in Table 2.
Source availableNAEP scale score or achievement-level percentage
NAEP 2024 reading and mathematics achievement
Official state assessment results for grades 4 and 8, retained as separate subject and grade series in the source.
Method and limits
NCES reports results from nationally representative samples using common NAEP assessment frameworks.
- NAEP measures educational achievement and is not an IQ test.
- Grade, subject, accommodations, exclusions, and sampling error must remain visible.
Uncertainty: No numeric value is frozen because subject, grade, statistic, and plausible-value uncertainty must be selected together.
Source availablePIAAC scale score or proficiency-level percentage
PIAAC adult literacy and numeracy state estimates
NCES small-area estimates of adult literacy and numeracy proficiency.
Method and limits
NCES combines PIAAC survey data with auxiliary small-area data to produce state and county estimates.
- Small-area estimates are modeled, not direct tests of all state residents.
- Literacy and numeracy are distinct skills and should not be collapsed into IQ.
Uncertainty: A numeric value is withheld until domain, estimate type, model release, and interval are versioned.
Source availablepercent
ACS 2024 educational attainment context
Official survey estimates describing educational attainment; included only as context.
Method and limits
The Census Bureau weights ACS survey responses to estimate population characteristics.
- Educational attainment is not cognitive ability.
- ACS estimates require margins of error and exact table universes for valid comparisons.
Uncertainty: No percentage is frozen without its ACS table, universe, release, estimate, and margin of error.