Historical estimate

Can U.S. Presidents Be Ranked by IQ?

A published model exists for early presidents, but its numbers are estimates—not test results.

QuestionWhat does the evidence actually support when a chart ranks presidents by IQ?
01

Read the method before the ranking

The estimates combine sparse retrospective IQ estimates with biographical ratings of intellectual brilliance and openness using missing-value estimation.

George WashingtonThomas JeffersonAbraham LincolnJohn F. KennedyRonald Reagan
02

Four variants exist; this atlas ranks 2C

Simonton reports I-U, I-C, II-U, and II-C. IQ Caddy displays and sorts the II-C (2C) integer—with an Estimate badge—rather than hiding the ranking in a min–max bar. 2C is still a model, not a test.

Thomas JeffersonJohn F. KennedyJohn Quincy Adams
03

Later presidents use qualitative estimates

Obama, Trump, and Biden are outside Simonton 2006. This atlas assesses each one from their ages 18-26 biographical record using the logic of Cox's historiometric method, then labels the result as an informal estimate. The full methodology and per-president evidence chronologies are at /stories/presidential-iq-estimation-method/. Trump's viral IQ-73 claim is kept as a disputed claim, not as his IQ.

Barack ObamaDonald TrumpJoe Biden
What the evidence supports

Simonton's 2006 paper supports labeled historiometric model estimates through George W. Bush. This atlas ranks those 42 presidents by Table 1 column II-C (2C). Obama, Trump, and Biden remain outside that paper.

Primary trail

Sources used in this investigation

peer-reviewed researchPresidential IQ, Openness, Intellectual Brilliance, and Leadership: Estimates and Correlations for 42 U.S. Chief ExecutivesPolitical Psychology (Wiley) · 2006fact checkNo Evidence Donald Trump Scored 73 on an IQ TestFull Fact · 2025expert analysisIQ Caddy proof-of-concept informal estimatesIQ Caddy · 2026